Evaluation of Wetland Management Program from a Climate Change Perspective with an Ecosystem-Based Planning Approach: A Case Study of Shadegan Wetland

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Environment, Alborz Campus, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

2 Department of Disaster Engineering, Education and Environmental Systems, Faculty of Environment, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

3 Department of Environmental Engineering and Pollutant Monitoring, Research Institute for Environment and Sustainable Development, Department of Environment, Tehran, Iran

Abstract
Introduction: Wetlands, as critical ecosystems, play a vital role in ecological balance and human community support by providing services such as water purification, flood control, and biodiversity conservation. The Shadegan International Wetland in Khuzestan, registered under the Ramsar Convention (1971), holds global significance due to its biodiversity and ecosystem services. This wetland faces challenges including drought, reduced water allocation, industrial and agricultural pollution, and dust storms driven by climate change, all threatening its survival. Climate change, by altering hydrological patterns, underscores the need for a comprehensive roadmap for wetland management. The Ecosystem-Based Management (EBM) approach, integrating ecological, social, economic, governance, and cultural factors, offers an effective framework for the conservation and restoration of the Shadegan Wetland. Developing a wetland-climate change roadmap based on EBM is a crucial step toward mitigating the adverse impacts of climate change and enhancing the sustainability of the Shadegan ecosystem.
Materials and Methods: The research was conducted in three phases: 1) Qualitative analysis of domestic and international scientific documents related to EBM and climate change to develop a roadmap, using qualitative content analysis of EBM components through a meta-synthesis method with NVivo14 software. Coding was performed based on five main systems (economic, ecological, social, governance, and cultural) and their subsystems. Inter-coder reliability (ICR) was assessed by two independent coders, with the Kappa coefficient calculated. 2) Qualitative analysis of the Shadegan Wetland Management Plan. 3) Quantitative assessment using a data-input-output matrix to evaluate the role of climate change and EBM in wetland management, with policy recommendations derived using SPSS software.
Results: The wetland-climate change roadmap, based on the EBM approach, comprises 54 components across five key systems (economic, ecological, social, governance, and cultural) and 19 sectors affected by climate change, serving as a benchmark for evaluating the Shadegan Wetland Management Plan. The data-input-output matrix analysis revealed an overall plan coverage of 31.48%, with significant gaps (87% of components and 94% of sectors). The economic system, with 23% coverage, performed the weakest, with only one fully addressed component (green infrastructure) and gaps in ecosystem service valuation and circular economy. Proposed solutions include sustainable aquaculture with native species, bird-watching ecotourism, and solar-powered boats. The ecological system (30.77% coverage) benefits from reedbed restoration and biofilters for biodiversity conservation, with 10 gaps identified. The social system (44.44% coverage) is enhanced by a stakeholder coordination mobile application. The governance system (45% coverage) requires a digital platform and adaptive management. The cultural system (20.83% coverage) is improved through a digital museum and local festivals. This plan ensures Shadegan’s sustainability by addressing emission reduction, adaptation, and risk mitigation.
Discussion: The innovations of this study, such as solar-powered boats and biofilters, align with FAO (2012) and Ramsar (2018) but offer a more localized approach tailored to Khuzestan’s climate. Ecosystem service valuation, akin to Costanza (2017), has local applicability and differs from TEEB (2010). The stakeholder coordination mobile application modernizes participatory management compared to traditional methods by Brooks (2008). The digital governance platform enhances transparency in Khuzestan’s complex conditions, surpassing Stram (2009). The digital museum and cultural tourism improve local livelihoods and, unlike UNEP (2016), globalize wetland values. Across 19 climate change sectors, solutions such as Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) in water, GIS in environmental management, and biogas in energy align with IPCC (2014) and FAO (2017), yet integrating wetlands into management provides a more holistic approach. Limitations, such as long-term data gaps and stakeholder coordination, can be addressed through education and digital technology. This plan serves as a model for other Iranian wetlands, such as Hamoun and Anzali.

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